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2024-12-13 04:40:59

China index rose by more than 10%, Fangduoduo rose by about 120%, YINN rose by more than 25%, Nasdaq Jinlong China index rose by more than 10%, and China stock index rose by more than 119%. YINN, Tiger Securities, Baozun KWEB-commerce, Xinyuan Real Estate, Futu Holdings, Financial Yitong and Dada rose by more than 20%, and bilibili, Land Control, Shell and Weilai.In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)Mexican President Simbaum said that the US Deputy Secretary of State candidate "did a good job" during his tenure as the US ambassador to Mexico.


Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the regulation of the Internet and artificial intelligence must strike a balance between stimulating progress and personal data security.Domestic futures closed at night, with coke up 5.6%, glass up about 5%, coking coal and synthetic rubber up over 4%, rebar up over 3% and iron ore up about 2.7%.China's first oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold by Meituan, and the oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold in Meituan at 21: 00 on December 9th. At the same time, Telpotide, which is recognized by the industry as the "strongest rival" of Smegliptide, opened the first appointment in the US Mission. Users in some areas can make an appointment to go to the same city clinic for weight management. It is reported that the scheduled drug delivery service will be opened within one week. This is also the first appointment for the US Mission to win two star medicines again after Nuoheying (Simei Reduced Edition). According to the data of Meituan, the instantaneous search volume of Simei related products doubled from yesterday.


The French CAC40 index rose by 1.00% in the day.Lianchuang Optoelectronics: The smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports. Lianchuang Optoelectronics said on the interactive platform on December 9 that in the face of "low-slow and small" flying objects represented by drones, there is a lot of room in the domestic low-altitude security equipment market. The company's smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products are combined with the developed "low-altitude defense system command and control platform application software" and have the ability to install and deploy countermeasures equipment groups. To build a low-altitude defense system for users, we have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports, but it is still in the early stage of negotiations, and there is still some uncertainty about whether we can expand the domestic airport security market as expected.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.

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